Well, it appears that it all turned out sort-of-anticipated, but sort-of-not. Specifically, the Libs kicked ass north of Watford, but got their asses kicked south thereof. Shame: I was hoping that places like Guildford would become safe Lib seats in order to annoy the Stupid Party.
As it turns out, my Lib Dem vote share bet will probably make me money; my ‘amazingly low turnout’ bet probably won’t. So I’ll probably be neutral, but pissed off about the way that a gigantic increase in the Lib vote translated into a tiny increase or a decline in their number of seats.
If, in the morning, any of the above looks stupid, then I’ll feel free to change it…
Update, May 6, lunchtime: the Libs have done better than I thought in seat terms. Good. Michael Howard is resigning. Good. I suspect Tony (for obvious reasons) and Charlie (the Lib Dems have become a serious opposition party – and like Neil Kinnock, although he’s done his party a great deal of good, Charles Kennedy is not someone who could be imagined as Prime Minister) will follow suit well before the next election.